Sports Betting Picks and Tips » Trading

Which basket for the eggs?

Juck — Wed, 07 Oct 2009 16:09:50 +0000

One of the fundamental rules in financial markets is to diversify our invested capital in many products, having more safety and run less risk. In my opinion, in this trading world , this rule should also apply. But, how to do this?

Selecting different markets with different risk levels associated and using different portions of our capital for each occasion type.

One of the markets in which it is easier to do trading, and perhaps where we almost traders start , is Live Football, which as we all know this, and seem easy (...)
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Arbitrage Betting Strategy

NuNeS — Mon, 23 Feb 2009 18:04:08 +0000

When i searched the Internet for this subject of Arbitrage in bets, world where I start to integrate, I came across with quite profitable strategies, however there was one that caught my attention for its simplicity.

Analyzing the Champions League game between Chelsea and Juventus, i found this:

- Juventus to win the match with odds of 5.9 at Bet365
- Juventus (Back / Lay) to win the match with odds of 5.3 / 5.4 at Betfair

Therefore, and explaining how the system works for Back / Lay bets:(...)
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Liquidity and Volatility – Return/Risk Catalyzing

Juck — Sun, 25 Jan 2009 14:52:31 +0000

Liquidity

Liquidity is an economic concept that considers the ease with which an asset can be converted into a medium of exchange in the economy. The degree of agility conversion of an investment without significant loss of value measures its liquidity. An asset is all the more liquid the easier it is to turn into cash.(...)
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Soccer Trading

Henry Morgan — Mon, 12 Jan 2009 00:04:02 +0000

I leave here a quite successfully trading system I have used in soccer, so I advise anyone who wants to try, to use low stakes at first and if you really come to the conclusion of its profitability, increase gradually.

I would like to warning “Holy Grail” hunters that here will not find any miraculous system.

Early in the game and after a brief analysis of the traditional odds i lay the draw, then do back on the under 2.5 goals market, this is always done in a 60/40 proportion, put the lay draw with 60% and back to under 2.5 goals with 40%.(...)
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Free Risk Betting Guide (Surebets)

Dunadan — Tue, 16 Dec 2008 06:17:28 +0000

You won in all cases, it is a safe bet where the word “safe” speaks for itself.

It is based on following the bookmakers odds and find a bet that has a result above 100%. Sometimes the bookmakers offer odds for a bad team and others bookmakers offer even lower odds for the same team.

See this example for Benfica vs Académica game:(...)
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Betting Arbitrage Tutorial

Dunadan — Wed, 10 Dec 2008 23:39:02 +0000

What is an arbitrage bet?

An arbitrage opportunity (arb to his friends) happens when the price differences allow us to make bets that can not be lost. There are two types of arbitrage: or bet in favor of all possible outcomes of an event (Book arbitrage), or betting for and against the same selection at various prices (Back / Lay arbitrage).

Book arbitrage(...)
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Betting Against wons the day

Bruno — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 22:18:52 +0000

Layers gamblers, won the day!

It’s time for a nostalgic journey in time. In other days, horse racing bookies was composed of a set of men who wore fur coats, and conducted dark green Jaguar cars. Wore their smiles for their clients lumpy, and the results of their spoils were simply reported by the Racing Post or Sporting Life “Jack’s Delight’ 11.000 / 10.000 three times, 6.000 / 4.000 twice and 5.000 / 5.000 three times’.” Those were the days when the racetrack bookies had his supreme reign and made his toil a very nice life. Andrew Black came with Betfair , and the party is over.

Most South racetracks consisted of eclectic men whose presence generated not only a formidable authority in business terms and racing experience, but they (...)
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Horse racing Trading with Technical Analysis

pave — Sat, 08 Nov 2008 23:26:52 +0000

Once i have found a site where Jim Makos, shows how to use technical analysis to trade in horses racing, I decided to try out today. As I have some experience in stock markets, I thought I could get some profit on this.

Around 10 am, I open a race that would begin at 12am in order to observe the behavior to its beginning.

This was the chart that was formed in these two hours, taken from FairBot. (...)
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Weight of Money on the Betting Exchanges

Dunadan — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 01:59:02 +0000

Weight of Money is not dead?

This article serves to clarify and provide information about the Weight of Money and its influence during the trading process, which is expected to be always successful. “But what is the Wieght of Money?” In English, Weight of Money or WOM has their initials, which is more commonly used to “Shorten” the “Word of Mouth,” mouth to mouth or say-what-he said, considered the best advertising and marketing form, among other expressions which are not now called for here. I want you to read this article carefully and in final, use “Word of Mouth” to inform your friends, colleagues and know, okay?(...)
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Trading Calculator: Lay the Draw and back the 0-0 Final Score

hdricard — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:08:07 +0000

I developed this calculator after reading the “Profitable Trading Strategies” that exemplified how to make “safe” money betting on Lay draw and in the 0-0 Final Score (CALCULATOR AT END OF ARTICLE).

The aim was to help in the calculation of values to place on each bet.

I let down a sort of tutorial examples using a soccer game:(...)
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Profitable Trading Strategies

Dunadan — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 16:10:20 +0000

This is a short series of profitable and paying trading strategies from the LayTheOdds authorship that we translate and customise into the following tutorial. It is entirely different from the analytical approach of the money weight evaluation and from the odd/volume diagrams study (not that there’s something wrong with that method).

It will be covered several methods, all of those used by me, although existing many other strategies involving everything and something more, from horse races to football (soccer) or even Big Brother!
I apologize in advance if you find my explanations a bit “paternalistic”, “arrogant” or “meticulous”, but these methods were written for newcomers into the trading and sporting bets, as also for those who are already “fluent” in many of the basic concepts related to trading or sporting betting exchange.(...)
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Technical Analysis of Betfair Markets

NuNeS — Sat, 28 Jun 2008 18:15:39 +0000

Chapter 1 – Technical Analysis – Introduction

* 1.1 – What is Technical Analysis
* 1.2 – The 3 basics principle of Technical Analysis at Betfair
* 1.3 – Dow Theory on Betfair

1.1 What is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis or charting, is a set of tools, principles and indicators that using the graphics as a platform to determine the best odds and the best time to lay or back in a given market or sports.

Technical analysis is very used in financial markets and stock market and has been improving and enhancing the information obtained by more traditional and familiar, Fundamental Analysis.(...)
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Back Bets/Lay Bets – Tutorial

DrPoe — Tue, 03 Jun 2008 17:40:51 +0000

From my point of view, today trading is becoming increasingly important for a good bettor, and the purpose of this tutorial is to give you some basic concepts for all bettors who want to get into trading. In this tutorial I’m going to talk a little bit about everything, except for unmatched bets, since that isn’t what this tutorial is about.

Before going further, you should already be registered with Betfair, and it is essential to put all the options in the view in order to be able to know—before placing any bet—what kind of gains and losses you’re going to have when you make a given bet; that is, when you get into the market of your choice (I picked the Spain – Greece game), everything must be displayed, you must put up the following options:(...)
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Trading – Time Bomb

DrPoe — Wed, 28 May 2008 07:45:54 +0000

Yeah, I also was surprised because I read a lot about trading and had never heard this “Time Bomb” expression. Actually I do not know if there is, i just found this expression in a Spanish blog. Already researched on our friend Google and nothing, all results refer only to the same blog.

There is a form of trading that is based only on variation in odds over time. For example:
- Placing a bet in favor of “less than 2.5 goals,” wait a few minutes to make against.
- Placing a bet in favor of 0-0 and spent some time to bet against.

In this trading type, the Spanish blog calls temporal trading.(...)
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Lay Horses – Introduction

Bruno — Mon, 26 May 2008 11:54:52 +0000

FINDING A HORSE THAT WILL LOSE – INTRODUCTION

To explain the simplest way I always look for false favorites, or a horse having much bets to win, but I think they will lose. I do this by taking into account many factors that many people do not care to look.

Practically there are hundreds of factors that may affect the race conduct, many people spend hours and hours studying these factors and ultimately not reach a conclusion.(...)
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Arbitrage in half-time

DrPoe — Fri, 23 May 2008 00:20:48 +0000

A month ago I had an idea … HUUUUU! What could be??

There was not anything special. I was thinking about making arbitrage, so I decided to register myself in another bookmaker. So far we had one that was the Betfair now “got another” which is the Unibet but, you know, there’s no love like the first.

You even see that it would hardly have success being recorded in only two bookmakers, is not it?
“And now what?” I thought. “I think you will go to the wrong side”. This has not me but the voice of reason.(...)
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Less / Under 2.5 goals System

DrPoe — Wed, 21 May 2008 18:11:29 +0000

Less than 2.5 goals System – Trading “Live”

Euro 2008 is coming and so I think it is the ideal time to talk about a system that applies to soccer matches.

As the title indicates, this system is to bet on the game beginning in favor of less than 2.5 goals and hope that time passes so that the odds fall thus we close in green.
Although losing in popularity for the system to bet against the draw I believe to be more direct since it has not many limitations.

This system advantage is that invariably, the market goes in our favor. You can even give yourself a goal to open the match but later or earlier, with variations faster or slower, the shares end up there to go against our (...)
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The Risks of Arbitrage Betting

gerrikabeitia — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 02:48:28 +0000

It’s been some time since I posted on my old blog on this subject and since we’re driving at this type of “trading” (could it be?), I thought it best to return to post some aspects that make us actually lose money in this supposedly no risk way to win.

1 – Cancellation of bets due to betting shop errors
Certainly many of you have already suffered from the cancellation of a won bet because the betting shop says it did not define the odds. There is nothing to be done about this, and when we create an account with a betting shop, we can be sure to accept that it will happen. In arbitrage, this is an extremely important factor seeing as we have two sides, one that will win and one that will lose (in the more common case of back/lay arbitrage). Here if our bet effectively wins but the betting shop cancels it, we lose the total amount from the other side. In my experience, betting on totally absurd odds with arbitrages higher than 10% should be avoided because they attract an intervention by the bookie.

2 – The odds change rapidly(...)
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Tutorial: How to bet on Betfair?

Bruno — Wed, 02 May 2007 18:16:49 +0000

Betfair decided to provide and sponsor two courses of how to bet on Betfair, we hope that with these two courses the ApostaGanha members have more easiness understanding and how to use the Betfair betting market!

Welcome to Betfair Foundation Course – Part I

Let us begin by the Betfair main table. Navigate to the left hand side column on the screen. On Football choose which game you wish. In this case we will choose the match International v Sao Paulo(...)
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Bets Apostaganha Trading and Arbitrage Tutorials

Bruno — Tue, 01 May 2007 17:29:25 +0000

Bets Apostaganha Trading and Arbitrage Tutorials, ranked by users:

Profitable Trading Strategies (9.73 out of 10)
Tutorial: How to bet on Betfair? (9.71 out of 10)
Back Bets/Lay Bets – Tutorial (9.40 out of 10)
Soccer Trading (9.08 out of 10)
Trading Calculator: Lay the Draw and back the 0-0 Final Score (8.79 out of 10)
Betting Arbitrage Tutorial (8.75 out of 10)
Which basket for the eggs? (8.71 out of 10)
Liquidity and Volatility – Return/Risk Catalyzing (8.64 out of 10)
The Risks of Arbitrage Betting (8.56 out of 10)
Free Risk Betting Guide (Surebets) (8.41 out of 10)
Weight of Money on the Betting Exchanges (8.38 out of 10)
Horse racing Trading with Technical Analysis (8.24 out of 10)
Arbitrage in half-time (8.07 out of 10)
Less / Under 2.5 goals System (8.04 out of 10)
Trading – Time Bomb (7.96 out of 10)
Technical Analysis of Betfair Markets (7.79 out of 10)
Arbitrage Betting Strategy (7.10 out of 10)
Lay Horses – Introduction (7.06 out of 10)
Betting Against wons the day (7.00 out of 10)