Sports Betting Picks and Tips » Tutorials

Data to be taken into account in a Soccer Game Analysis

Carlos_Lucas — Sun, 11 Apr 2010 22:06:08 +0000

Usually one of the most basic data that all consulted before betting on a football match are the statistics. This is the first point of influence that we face when we look at a football game but if the statistics do not win games alone certainly will not help us to win on betting world.

The statistics should be used as a support for the analysis and together with other information will be very important to determine whether there is value in the deal that the bookmakers offer us.(...)
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Two different betting styles!

Juck — Tue, 26 Jan 2010 13:58:27 +0000

In betting world, as in everything in life there are several ways to do certain thing. In this world we have two ways to do it: making gambling betting following the ‘feel’, and bet a rational way.

In gambling, you should look for excitement and fun, nothing else, this is what the bookmakers sell, emotion. This betting method (almost) always result in total destruction of banking and successive deposits. If this is what we seek we have to take account that the risk of losing all the money is very high and money will gone. We should set a maximum spend for a certain time period, the amount only each one can define because it have direct relation with the available capital at the time.(...)
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Bet Value

Pierre Fermat — Tue, 12 Jan 2010 11:50:30 +0000

The concept of a Value Bet

In the betting world is a reality that can not be run if you do not make bets with “value”, can not obtain long-term profit. We can win over a few days, sometimes weeks, but if we do not find an advantage, we will end up losing.

To better understand this concept, imagine two friends, Peter and John to toss a coin several times (for extreme we imagine 1000 times). The probability of leaving a coin is 50% (...)
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Ways to Profit from Sports Betting

DrPoe — Thu, 13 Aug 2009 15:10:26 +0000

I don’t know if that has happened to you as well but when I got into wagering I imagined that the only way to profit would be by hitting the encounter’s winner. In time I realized that there are other ways to profit. So, I propose to list some alternatives.

In this Guide I will introduce you to all the possible ways and even alternatives of how to profit in the long term with Sports betting and with Bookmakers that offer us the bets.

There are eight in total, listed below:

1. Punting
2. Trading
3. Arbitrage
4. Bonus offered by bookmakers
5. Building a bot for Betfair
6. Selling Predictions and Hunches
7. Selling Systems
8. Poker(...)
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What is Dutching?

DrPoe — Tue, 19 May 2009 07:21:01 +0000

Dutching is to bet on more than one result at a time, ensuring a equal profit in all your selections. The advantage is that we are more likely to win. The downside is that we get less compared with a single bet.

Now a very simple example (Orgryte v Hacken): (...)
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Make Money with No-Risk Bonus Betting

Dunadan — Sat, 28 Feb 2009 16:25:50 +0000

1. Introduction
2. Differences between Betting Exchanges and Bookmakers
3. Deposit Bonuses and Free Bets
4. How to Make Money from Deposit Bonuses with Arbitrage
5. The Lay Bet vs. Back Bet Arbitrage Method, step by step
6. Examples of the Lay Bet vs. Back Bet Arbitrage Method
7. List of ApostaGanha Sponsor Bonus Bets
(...)
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Fractional Odds versus Decimal Odds

Rui — Wed, 11 Feb 2009 03:19:50 +0000

I always thought the fractional odds were a crank for Englishmen, that always do everything the hard way, simplicity and objectivity has never been his best attribute, but we have to adapt ourselves. Since I joined in horses betting, was confronted with odds of 2 / 1 and 5 / 1 and 5 / 2 etc … .. I saw this in many sites, so I had to learn to convert to decimal and understand how it works …

Starting:

Decimal odds reflect the return on a bet, fractional odds show the profit.(...)
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Odds vs Betting

miguel_carvalho — Sat, 07 Feb 2009 02:33:07 +0000

In my opinion, any self-respecting gambler must have good knowledge of Odds and Statistics. Since I have some knowledge in the area will try to make a presentation of the subject even in very simple terms.

I am not saying that a good gambler has to master perfectly the theoretical probability and understand all the probabilistic concepts. What usually happens is that despite not knowing all the theoretical concepts, a good punter through practice and their intelligence eventually learn and assess the probabilities of the events in question.

I, despite having a solid foundation in the Probability and Statistics area , consider myself an average punter, Why? Because above all, take bets to the play world and I end up not being sufficiently rigorous in(...)
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Each-Way Bets

Almighty — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:57:27 +0000

Each-Way Betting are mainly based on betting on two bets types at the same time, in victory and in place at the same time. For example, if we bet € 10 on EW on a horse than will divide with € 5 for the win and the other € 5 for place, as you can see, the initial bet turnover when bet on EW.

Can be used in many ways, this first picture show a horse that will be favorite in this race with an odd below X (now explain why the odds of X in horses).

Well,in this image, will bet on the favorite but do not want to lose everything if he does not win when there is such a horse that can win too. (...)
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Teaser Bets

Bruno — Sun, 11 Jan 2009 23:18:57 +0000

Teasers are wagers on totals and spreads, are common in basketball and football. They are a special kind of multiple, where the punter prefers an lower odd than it would in a simple multiple but has a favorable adjustment of total points or handicap, as the bet.

Confused? With examples becomes easier:

Let’s catch in 3 NBA Game with the following spreads and totals: (...)
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Value Betting

Almighty — Fri, 26 Dec 2008 14:53:08 +0000

Value bets are bets in favor of something where the victory chances are better than the available odd’s. This means that if you’re looking for something where the price is excessive, then it has value.

This means that we should always bet in the favorite to win?

Bet in favor of something that is considered to have value is rarely a bet on the most likely winner or the favorite. In most cases we bet on the “dogs” (least favorite) or a price imagined by us as good.

Example 1:(...)
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Recognize Value & Get Advantage

NunoLopes — Wed, 24 Dec 2008 00:04:17 +0000

Risk is part of everyday life, more than most people realize. Since crossing the street even more obvious financial decisions such as buying a house or starting a business, everything in life involves different amounts of uncertainty that should be considered. Bets are the purest expression of risk, even when it is presented as a seemingly simple choice of a potential match for an unknown event, like a soccer match, many bettors hit show a worrying ignorance of the concept of value and mathematical principles involved. In simple terms, if a bettor can not recognize ‘value’, it is never a winner in the long term.

The Monty Hall Problem(...)
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Home Team Advantage in the Premier League – Pinnacle Sports

k3nzo — Mon, 22 Dec 2008 14:00:05 +0000

Premiership Betting – Analysis of the home teams advantage in the Premier League by Pinnacle.

One look at last season’s English Premier League table will tell you that home teams scored more goals than visiting teams (552 v 349). In fact, ever since the English Football Association formed the first ever football league in 1888, it has always been that way. QED - home teams enjoy a natural advantage over away teams.

This might be stating the obvious, but many bettors fail to understand the importance of Home Field Advantage (HFA). At PinnacleSports we use HFA as the basis for much of our odds setting on football. The key to (...)
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Gambling Bank Management Methods

Dunadan — Thu, 18 Dec 2008 09:03:28 +0000

The average gambler loses money to the gambling house largely as a result of poor bank management. Bookmakers can, from time to time, offer very good odds, especially after they have had a few good weeks (often weeks with surprising results, a lot of favorites who lose, etc.) and gamblers’ accounts will be emptied.

Bookmakers know that as soon as they offer some good odds (by that I mean really good odds), the average gambler will very likely deposit more money, and will almost certainly win right away, increasing the balance of his gambling account.

For the bookmaker, this is not a problem at all, because it knows that one way or another, it’s very likely that the customer will not have any money left in the account a few weeks later, due to his poor (...)
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Martingale Method

Bruno — Sun, 14 Dec 2008 18:29:28 +0000

Martingale is a system invented by old casinos. This betting system is based on the double of the money bet after each losing bet and going back to the beginning of succession after winning a bet.

For example, placing € 10 in a 50% bet with price / odds of 2. If you lose the bet, bet double the previously bet amount. Lost the second bet as well? It will then double the stakes until you get a winning bet:

STEP 1 – 1st bet – stake€ 10 = Bet Lost
STEP 2 – 2nd bet – stake€ 20 = Bet Lost
STEP 3 – 3rd bet – stake € 40 = Bet Lost
STEP 4 – 4th bet – stake € 80 = Bet Lost
STEP 5 – 5th bet – stake € 160 = bet wins (then back to top)(...)
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Combo bets vs single bets

Bruno — Sun, 30 Nov 2008 17:03:00 +0000

I’ve lost a lot of time around the multiple bets. In a sense it is natural because the odds have a multiplier effect, for each game that we add make multiple very very attractive.

I could never find anything special to make me bet on multiple, as many as we all know, multiple, strongly decreases our odds to get it right.

Interestingly, and like everything in life, I found a case where a multiple bet is better than a single bet, let’s see.

If I make a single bet, for example for the home team, my odds of hitting are these: (...)
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Bet Calculator

DrPoe — Thu, 09 Oct 2008 03:40:27 +0000

Well here’s a short explanation of how to use some of the functions of arbcruncher calculator. I speak of the Back / Lay option. CALCULATOR AT THE END OF THIS ARTICLE

As its name implies, this feature lets you know how much we have to bet for or against in order to get out with profit whatever the result of the match.

To make things easier, see this example.

I want at the match start, bet € 4 for an odd of 4.00.
How much do I have to bet against if the odds down to 3.95?(...)
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Rules for How to make money wagering

Bruno — Mon, 02 Jun 2008 17:21:46 +0000

Across time we have been gathering a series of rules, ideas and methods to make money in bets or at least, in the first instance, not to lose money betting.

There are many methods, many ideas, many hunches, many ways to face bets, none is perfect, and none is 100% trustworthy but altogether can be at the minimum, a source of inspiration. So, we gather here and there some betting rules of several members of the ApostaGanha.pt and we make this article that we hope to be of interest of all punters. (...)
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Lay Horses – FLAT RACING

DrPoe — Mon, 26 May 2008 14:56:31 +0000

FINDING A HORSE THAT WILL LOSE – FLAT RACING

Let us now consider the first signs to identify a good lay.

Land State (Going) – The state of the ground is very important to the outcome of a race: Some horses run well on any land state but the majority have always a preference.

What we are looking for is a favorite that has never won on the ground state of the race that will run or have never run this land state. This situation, well analyzed, happen many times over a season. Often we see a (...)
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Neteller – Deposit / Withdrawal

Bruno — Tue, 29 Apr 2008 01:32:43 +0000

Neteller – Some bookmakers accept deposits / withdrawals by this payment method. Before sending the money to the bookmaker advise you to check your Neteller account because they tend to block the accounts to be confirmed everything with them.

Bookmakers accepting this deposit method:

Bet365 (min. € 40)
Betfair (min. € 15, max. € 50,000)
Bwin (min. 10, max. € 5,000)(...)
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Moneybookers – Deposit / Withdrawal

Bruno — Fri, 25 Apr 2008 20:50:22 +0000

Moneybookers – Most bookmakers accept deposits / withdrawals by this payment method.

To charge your Moneybookers account must:

Deposit card or credit card;
Make a transfer from your bank account to Moneybookers bank account (can not do it either by ATM or over the BES desk)

The data that Moneybookers put it on their site about their bank account is the BES. Being a Portuguese bank BES do not need the IBAN that they put on their site but the NIB. Here is the data of IBAN and NIB(...)
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Creating / Managing a Sports Betting and Poker wallet

Bruno — Thu, 20 Mar 2008 14:09:10 +0000

I created this guide to report some of my experience in banking management over the years and especially for advanced users, those who bet far beyond a simple weekend or one or another month, is a essential guide for those who want to go further and who want to bet on sports and playing poker in the long run and with some frequency.

One of the most important things I learned and what should be the first golden rule for any long-term player (Sports Betting and / or poker) is have a completely separate banking and specialized banking day-to-day. It (...)
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Betting Glossary

Bruno — Tue, 18 Mar 2008 07:45:49 +0000

Glossary of terms used in Sports Betting:

AH – Asian Handicap. – Here is the explanation .
Banker - Banker is a term that is used for games where one outcome is almost certain.
Bankroll - Bankroll is the amount you have to make a bet.
DNB or Draw No Bet – Draw No Bet or DNB is a bet that if the game end with a draw, the stake is returned.(...)
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Spreads and Disadvantages – Explanation

Bruno — Mon, 07 May 2007 23:44:09 +0000

Spreads

Are bets where a team takes a step forward and the other a disadvantage. The actual result is added the advancement or split a disadvantage. For example, the Lakers visit the Dallas Mavericks. There is a Spread for the team outside +6 points ahead. In the local team is given a handicap (Spread) -6 points. The game ends with a 99:94 – victory for Dallas, your bet is won if you had bet on the Lakers (for their 94 points were added 6).

Disadvantage(...)
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Asian Handicap – Explanation

Bruno — Sun, 06 May 2007 01:43:21 +0000

Basically the Asian Handicap works as follows:

Imagine a Sporting – Benfica and bookmaker gives the possibility of betting on Benfica (+0.5 Asian Handicap). What this means is that Benfica start with a progress goal, so if you bet at Benfica and if the result is a 0-0, 1-1 or any other draw you win the bet. If Benfica win also won the bet. Only if Benfica lose you lose the bet.

Then there’s the DNB also named Asian Handicap (0).

For example: Sporting – Benfica (AH 0). If you bet on Benfica, won in case of winning the game, recovering the money in case of a draw and lose the bet if Sporting win.(...)
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Multiple Bets, Combo Bets – Explanation

Bruno — Sat, 05 May 2007 23:24:03 +0000

Multiple Bets or Combo Bets

The multiple bet lets you combine several bets in one. The total odds of multiple bet are calculated by multiplying the odds of all simple bets. You can combine different sports and betting on a multiple bet. To earn a multiple bet will have to shoot all the results. For example: Austria-Rapid: Rapid win (odds 2.5) AND Dallas Cowboys-St. Louis Rams: Winner: St. Louis Rams (Odd 3) E-Sturm Graz LASK: the range 1:0 (Odd 4) – Total shares: 2.5 x 3 x 4 = 30

Multiple bet(...)
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Guide: Help in Sports Betting

Bruno — Thu, 03 May 2007 15:56:33 +0000

How to choose the games?

Choose league games where the favorite win as often as possible.

To get this information follow the odds and results of various European leagues.
We may see major differences between the leagues since the 65% winning favourites in Turkey to 43% of English League 2. We can see the table if we are otherwise normal betting underdogs and so the lower leagues of England and first leagues in Portugal and Belgium are markets to explore. (...)
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Tutorial: How to bet on Betfair?

Bruno — Wed, 02 May 2007 18:16:49 +0000

Betfair decided to provide and sponsor two courses of how to bet on Betfair, we hope that with these two courses the ApostaGanha members have more easiness understanding and how to use the Betfair betting market!

Welcome to Betfair Foundation Course – Part I

Let us begin by the Betfair main table. Navigate to the left hand side column on the screen. On Football choose which game you wish. In this case we will choose the match International v Sao Paulo(...)
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Bets Apostaganha Betting Tutorials

Bruno — Tue, 01 May 2007 09:47:23 +0000

Bets Apostaganha Betting Tutorials, ranked by users:

Tutorial: How to bet on Betfair? (9.71 out of 10)

Gambling Bank Management Methods (9.63 out of 10)

Ways to Profit from Sports Betting (9.37 out of 10)

Make Money with No-Risk Bonus Betting (9.28 out of 10)

Rules for How to make money wagering (9.16 out of 10)

What is Dutching? (8.79 out of 10)

Odds vs Betting (8.74 out of 10)

Bet Value (8.67 out of 10)

Data to be taken into account in a Soccer Game Analysis (8.63 out of 10)

Creating / Managing a Sports Betting and Poker wallet (8.59 out of 10)

Guide: Help in Sports Betting (8.59 out of 10)

Bet Calculator (8.45 out of 10)

Betting Glossary (8.45 out of 10)

Asian Handicap – Explanation (8.41 out of 10)

Recognize Value & Get Advantage (8.33 out of 10)

Lay Horses – FLAT RACING (8.20 out of 10)

Two different betting styles! (8.09 out of 10)

Value Betting (8.00 out of 10)

Home Team Advantage in the Premier League – Pinnacle Sports (7.95 out of 10)

Martingale Method (7.85 out of 10)

Multiple Bets, Combo Bets – Explanation (7.85 out of 10)

Combo bets vs single bets (7.82 out of 10)

Fractional Odds versus Decimal Odds (7.80 out of 10)

Each-Way Bets (7.50 out of 10)

Neteller – Deposit / Withdrawal (7.50 out of 10)

Teaser Bets (7.14 out of 10)

Moneybookers – Deposit / Withdrawal (6.75 out of 10)

Spreads and Disadvantages – Explanation (6.00 out of 10)

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10 de December de 2008 -- Betting Arbitrage Tutorial
29 de October de 2008 -- Trading Calculator: Lay the Draw and back the 0-0 Final Score
2 de May de 2007 -- Tutorial: How to bet on Betfair?
3 de June de 2008 -- Back Bets/Lay Bets – Tutorial
6 de October de 2010 -- Fluminense vs Santos – Brazilian A
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